Thursday, June 23, 2005


One Game to Rule Them All

For the first time in eleven years, the entire NBA season will come down to one game: tonight's Game 7 showdown between the Detroit Pistons and the San Antonio Spurs. My prediction before the season even started was San Antonio over Detroit in seven games, and I'm sticking with it. Here are three reasons why.

1. Home-court advantage. This factor is often downplayed, but the truth is that it often does make a difference. It is an extremely tough task to win a pivotal game on your opponent's home floor. The Pistons were able to do it against Miami, but the Heat's two stars were nowhere near 100% in that game; the Spurs are a much better team. Detroit has overcome this obstacle once already this postseason, but I highly doubt that the Pitstons can do it again.

2. The star factor. Stars come up big in big games, and San Antonio stakes claim to both bona fide stars involved in this series: Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili. Duncan, the greatest power forward of all time if you ask me, knows what he and his team need to do tonight, and he'll make sure they get it done. If Ginobili shows up to play like he did in Games 1 and 2, there will be partying in San Antonio tonight.

3. Horry and the Benchwarmers. Promising band name, huh? Well, maybe not, but in all seriousness, the Spurs' huge advantage as far as contribution off the bench could play a huge role in tonight's game. The most likely difference-maker is obviously "Big Shot Bob," otherwise known as Robert Horry. He has been tremendous in the clutch throughout his entire career, and nothing defines "clutch" more than Game 7 of the NBA Finals. Look for other reserves, such as Brent Barry and Rasho Nesterovic, to chip in and help ensure the victory as well.

If I am correct, as I usually am, the San Antonio Spurs will be crowned NBA champions tonight, and it will be because of these three things.
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